The Thursday night game didn’t start the way we wished but things turned around real quick on Sunday. Last week our picks ended up 5-1. For some reason, we left New Orleans off the list which was our bad. We’ve been riding them all season and knew they would have a solid bounce-back game. We called the final play in the Raiders game which luckily was not a pick-six. As for the Ravens, they are walking very tall right now and are going to be the team to beat. We will continue to play our picks on a week to week basis. We hope you took some of last week’s plays and maybe consider our picks for this week.
Week Eleven Had Some Juicy Items
- The Ravens have now won four games in a row by over 14+ points.
- The Colts ran for over 264 yards. Most in one game since 2004.
- The Vikings made a 20 point comeback to win.
- The 49ers threw for more yards on Sunday than any other game since 1999.
Let’s get into some of this week’s early lines and see what we can make of it.
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texas
The Texans opened at -6 and have since moved to -4 currently showing an early push by bettors for the Colts to cover. The Colts are coming off a 33-13 victory over the Jaguars snapping a 2 game skid. The Texans lost at Baltimore 7-41 making it the first lost by more than one possession for Deshaun Watson in his career. The Texans have won their next two games coming off a loss this season pointing to a rebound this week. The Colts had 2-century rushers last week while Houston gave up 265 yards on the ground to Baltimore. Indianapolis and the points look promising in a close divisional game most likely decided on the ground and in the trenches. The Colts should chew up a lot of clock in this one with their run game and keep Watson off the field in a low scoring game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons opened at -2.5 and have since moved to -4 showing the early money is on Atlanta to cover. Atlanta has come off convincing back-to-back wins over the Saints and recently the Panthers. The Buccaneers have won 1 of their last 4 games although they have been competitive in each. The Falcons have dominated two playoff contenders the last few weeks and another strong performance is in order against the Buccaneers as Dan Quinn tries to coach his way into another contract or potentially being fired. The Falcons should cover this one easily.
Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills
The Bills opened at -5 and have moved slightly down to a current -4.5 favorite. After a strong start by the Bills, they have recently been trading wins and losses over their last 5 weeks. 3 of those wins have been over Miami (2) and a win over Washington. While the two loses have been against Cleveland and Philadelphia. Denver meanwhile has been playing great defensive football the last 2 weeks which should have led to two victories if it wasn’t for a late Vikings touchdown in week 11. Denver defense is playing extremely well right now and the Bills do not have enough firepower to run away from the Broncos even though Denver’s offense is inept. Take the Broncos and the points in a low scoring game.
Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints
The Saints opened at -7 point favorites and have quickly jumped to -10. The Saints look to be in postseason form as Drew Brees is back under center for the second half of the season. Meanwhile, the Panthers essentially have been a one man show all season with Christian McCaffery and defenses have adjusted the last two weeks handing the Panthers consecutive losses. This week should be no different. The Saints have an above-average and opportunistic defense that should shut down McCaffery making Carolinas options limited. The Saints will win handily at home as they begin to fire on all cylinders and win by 10 or more.
Seattle Seahawks @ Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles opened as -3 point favorites and have since moved to -2. Seattle is coming off a bye week and wins in 4 of their last 5. The Eagles have lost 3 of their last 5 against 5 really good defenses (NE, CHI, BUF, DAL, MIN) and now face a fresh Seahawks team that is 5-0 on the road. Russell Wilson and the Seahawks prevail as they try to keep pace in a tough NFC West and the Eagles struggle to find offense although their defense is playing well. Seattle continues trending up and the Eagles will most likely stay one game back of Dallas in the NFC East who play New England (-6).
Dallas Cowboys @ New England Patriots
The Patriots opened at -7 point favorites and have since moved to -6. The Patriots have won 4 of their last 5 while the Cowboys have won 3 of their last 5. Predicting the Cowboys can be tough when they lose to the Jets one week and dismantle the Eagles next. Instead, bet on Bill Belichick confusing Dak Prescott into turnovers and the difference in a defensive game. This game should resemble last week’s Patriots vs Eagles 17-10 victory. Covering 6 points could be a lot in this low scoring game however under 46 is looking very good.
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