We finished last week just over the 500 which is pretty good considering what happened throughout the NFL. It was a pretty crazy week four and we knew it would be. Our locks came in which is a good thing. We knew the Redskins would blow up once again and we knew the Saints would stop the Cowboys. Saints with points at home won’t happen again for a while. The one game we got rolled on was Cleveland visiting the Ravens. We had this game completely wrong. Does this mean the Browns are going to win the AFC North? Interesting question Perky.
Overall, a successful week Four for Perky Bets.
Week Four Actionable Items
- This was the first time since 1994 that the Browns won the first two road games of the season.
- Chiefs have now won 11 games in a row in Septemeber.
- The Dolphins now hold the biggest point differential since 1940.
- Tampa Bay broke a points record with 55 – Note – against a tough Rams Defense
- The Saints won their first game since 2008 without scoring a touchdown.
Arizona Cardinals @ Cincinnati Bengals
We are talking about two pretty bad teams that don’t put up a lot of points. Arizona coming to Cinci is probably worth a shot at -3.5 on the Bengals. However, we are looking at the over/under in this one. Based on a crappy Monday night performance, even if the Bengals do better they will most likely not score that many points. We like the under at 47.5.
Updated – It came down to a late FG and it took us over.
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Although the Ravens are coming off a big loss at home last week, it doesn’t get much easier going into Pittsburgh. The Ravens do fair well against the Steelers on the road but they are giving them 3.5. That is a lot of points for a team that found some confidence Monday night. We are riding the Steelers on Sunday at +3.5.
Updated – The half-point comes into play in this one. A definitely AFC North battle that was won by the Ravens in overtime.
Buffalo Bills @ Tennessee Titans
This could come down to a FG but we feel like the Bills got their big wins early in the season and are now looking to ramp up even more. Josh Allen may not play but the Bills defense is definitely legit. We like the Bill on the road +3.
Updated – We said this could come down to a Field Goal. Turns out it came down to 4 missed field goals.
Minnesota Vikings @ New York Giants
Could they do it three times in a row? The Giants are building a little steam behind Daniel Jones. At home we like the Giants getting some good points here. If it comes down to a last-second field goal we will be fine with that. We are taking the Giants at home at +5.5.
Updated – Giants fell back into the early season mindset and all the media hype was lame this week on the Vikings.
New England Patriots @ Washington Redskins
Not much to say here. We know the Patriots didn’t play as well as they could’ve on Sunday but this week it gets even easier. The Redskins go 0-5 and Gruden will most likely get fired. We are all over the Patriots at -15.
Updated – This was too easy. Gruden got fired the next day.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints
We do think the Saints win this one at home. They are 3 point favorites with Tampa coming off one of their best offensive performances ever. However, that train stops in New Orleans. For this game, we will take the Saints -3.
Updated – This game turned out to be pretty exciting. The Saints are legit once again.
Green Bay Packers @ Dallas Cowboys
This is the game of the week according to the NFL. The last time we took the Packers they were favored. This time they are getting points on the road. They actually got a few extra days of rest since they played last Thursday night. We will take the +3.5 point on the road.
Updated – The Packers have the Cowboys number. Even on the road. The won outright in this one.
This sums up some of our picks for this week. We think some of these games are decent. We see where people are looking but remember what happened the previous week doesn’t mean it will repeat. In this case, the Patriots don’t score 16 points and Tampa doesn’t score 55. More like the other way around. We will soon find out soon enough.